Sunday, January 11, 2015

Show Safra 163 2015 at Lucas do Rio Verde March 24-27th

I will be hosting an ag tour March 23 - 27th.

We will stop at the Ag show at Lucas.
Seed, chemical and ag machinery.

It will be a quick trip through Mato Grosso the week of.

Contact me at for more info.

Saturday, January 10, 2015

1 million semi loads and counting

The weather has sure been erratic the past 10 days.

Here in Goiania, we have not received a drop.

In Mato Grosso, they have been getting daily showers that
keep them alive. It has been perfect early harvest weather and
soybeans have been shipped to crushers right from the field.
Very little or no drying needed.

Goias and Bahia are going to be hurt by this drought.
How much will it be?  Anyone´s guess as of today.
Will it be a disaster?  No
It will nip the top end potential off this crop by a bit.

A normal single trailer semi hauls 28 ton in the box.
Double trailers haul about 50-52 ton in the boxes.

With Mato Grosso coming in at 28 million ton this year,
she will break the 1 million semi load threshold.

In 2014, Illinois produced 550 million bushels of soybeans
and Iowa came in at just above 500 million bushels.
13.6 to 15 million metric tons respectively.

Iowa produced 485,000 semi loads of soybeans in 2014.

I think this helps build some perspective about how many
soybeans are produced in Mato Grosso.

To grasp the volume of truck traffic on dirt roads that
must exit via BR 163 is staggering.

Mato Grosso soybean crop will be fantastic. It is the healthiest
crop in many years. February could still throw a wrench into
things, but for now, it is looking good.

Goias and Bahia continue with yellow alert warning.

Thank you to all the new subscribers last week.



Thursday, January 1, 2015

2015 arrives on a dry note

Normally January weather is a non issue for the Center-West part of the country.

Soybean crop is made and harvest is in full swing.

This year it is different.

The bulk of the soybean crop was planted about 30 days later than normal.
This makes a situation where we need December weather in January.

Normally we would see about 300 mm in January or 12 inches of rain.
The new 2 and 3 week forecasts call for a fraction of that amount.
The bulk of the last planted soybeans will be trying to fill the pods in the
coming weeks.

We have never experienced a situation quite like this. Especially not on record planted acres. Sandy soils and newer less fertile soils will be the first affected. The heavier clay soils will likely roll through this unscathed.

The point of this blog update is the point out that this crop is not made yet.
The crop looks beautiful, but it is late.

We need to watch this unfold the next 4-6 weeks.

If January is dry through the Cerrado, we will loose X % of the soybean crop.
Then come February and rains during harvest, this creates even more headaches
and delays.

The timing for planting 2nd crop corn has no more cushion to work with.
It must be planted Feb 5th- Feb 25th.

How much gets planted?  Anyone´s guess today......

I will be monitoring with flash updates.

Happy New Year


* buy all the coffee you need for 2015 now !!!!